Star Lotulelei continues dominant rookie season against Patriots

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They said he didn’t bring it on every down. They said he wore down late in games. They said his health would be an issue. What they forgot to mention was what a high percentage of his team’s snaps he played, how versatile he was, or how consistently he dominated the point of attack.

Despite Atlanta’s offensive woes and New Orleans’ defensive success, the trends say to bet the over. The total has gone over in four of the Saints’ last five games and four of their last six road games. Atlanta’s contests have also hit the over more often than not lately, partially due to defensive struggles. The total has hit in six of Atlanta’s last nine games and six of its last seven home games.
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When compared head-to-head, however, the total has gone under in four of the last six meetings between the two teams. New Orleans has held an advantage over the Falcons recently, winning five of the last six head-to-head contests. The Saints were also 5-1 ATS during that stretch.

New Orleans looks like the obvious pick on paper, and if recent history holds true the Saints aren’t a bad bet to cover the spread either. There are some concerns, especially with New Orleans being forced to travel, play on a short week and following a physical contest against San Francisco. There is also the possibility the Saints could overlook the Falcons, especially with a huge Monday night showdown at Seattle coming up next week. Even with those factors, New Orleans has everything to play for while the Falcons are simply playing for pride at this point.

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